Tag Archives: Equity Research

Introduction

In the realm of finance, equity research plays a pivotal role for investors, serving as a guiding light to aid them in making well-informed investment decisions within the intricate landscape of financial markets. As investors traverse the complexities of this financial terrain in pursuit of lucrative opportunities, understanding the essence of it becomes paramount. This guide endeavors to shed light on various facets, encompassing its significance, methodologies, and best practices.

It holds indispensable value for investors as it furnishes a sturdy groundwork for assessing the performance and future potential of publicly traded companies. Through a thorough exploration of its intricacies, investors acquire invaluable insights that bolster their confidence in navigating financial markets.

Throughout the course of this guide, readers will immerse themselves in the fundamental tenets of equity research, delving into its methodologies and strategic approaches. From scrutinizing fundamental aspects to leveraging technical tools, this guide provides an exhaustive overview of the analytical methods employed by experts to discern opportunities and mitigate risks in the dynamic realm of the stock market.

Understanding Equity Research

It embodies a systematic and meticulous approach to dissecting financial data, with a primary focus on publicly traded companies. The overarching objective is to furnish investors with insightful recommendations, guiding them in pivotal decisions regarding stock purchase, sale, or retention. This multifaceted process entails a thorough examination of diverse factors, ranging from the company’s financial performance to prevailing industry trends, competitive dynamics, and broader macroeconomic conditions.

The Importance of Equity Research

The paramount significance of equity research cannot be overstated, as it serves as a linchpin in facilitating informed investment decisions. By unraveling the intrinsic value of stocks, it empowers investors to meticulously assess the associated risks and rewards inherent in each investment opportunity. Furthermore, it assumes a pivotal role for institutional investors, fund managers, and financial analysts, offering indispensable insights that underpin strategic investment formulations and portfolio management.

Methodologies in Equity Research

Analyzing financial data and market trends to gauge the performance and future outlook of publicly traded companies is a core aspect of equity research. Analysts employ a range of methodologies to collect data, assess information, and create investment suggestions. Below, we outline the primary methodologies that are commonly used:

Methodologies in Equity Research

Methodologies in Equity Research

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis serves as the bedrock of equity research, focusing on evaluating a company’s stock’s intrinsic value by examining its financial performance and qualitative attributes. Analysts meticulously review the company’s financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to evaluate metrics such as revenue growth, profitability margins, earnings per share (EPS), and return on equity (ROE). Additionally, qualitative factors such as the company’s business model, management team, competitive advantages, industry dynamics, and macroeconomic trends are considered. Fundamental analysis assists investors in understanding a company’s underlying value and making well-informed decisions regarding stock transactions.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a strategy that involves predicting future price movements and spotting trading prospects by reviewing past market data, particularly price and volume patterns. Analysts utilize various technical indicators, chart patterns, and statistical methods to understand market trends and investor behavior. Commonly used technical indicators include moving averages, the relative strength index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). This method is widely favored by short-term traders aiming to capitalize on market inefficiencies and exploit trends in price movements.

Quantitative Analysis

Quantitative analysis examines financial data using statistical and mathematical models to find trends or correlations that can inform investment choices. This strategy uses quantitative methods to quantify risk, forecast stock prices, and optimize investment portfolios. These methods include regression analysis, time series analysis, and machine learning algorithms. To produce extra returns, or alpha, in the financial markets, quantitative analysts, or “quants,” often use quantitative models or unique trading methods.

Qualitative Research

Qualitative research focuses on understanding the qualitative aspects of a company, industry, or market that are difficult to quantify. Analysts conduct interviews with company management, industry experts, suppliers, customers, and other stakeholders to gain insights into the company’s strategy, competitive positioning, growth prospects, and potential risks. Qualitative research also involves analyzing industry reports, news articles, regulatory filings, and other non-financial sources of information to gain a holistic understanding of the investment opportunity.

Key Components of Equity Research Reports

Equity research reports are vital tools for investors, providing comprehensive insights into the performance and potential of publicly traded companies. These reports typically consist of several key components, each playing a crucial role in informing investment decisions. Below are the essential elements commonly found in its reports:

Key Components of Equity Research Reports

Key Components of Equity Research Reports

Executive Summary

Functioning as the pivotal snapshot, the executive summary serves as the distillation of the research report’s essence. It concisely delineates crucial findings, investment recommendations, and the target price, furnishing stakeholders with a swift yet comprehensive overview of the analysis.

Company Overview

This segment delves deeply into the intricacies of the company under scrutiny, presenting a panoramic exploration of its business model, products/services, market positioning, and competitive advantages.

Financial Analysis

A meticulous dissection of the company’s financial performance constitutes the cornerstone of this section. From meticulously scrutinizing revenue growth and profitability margins to delving into liquidity ratios and leverage ratios, analysts proffer an exhaustive assessment of the company’s financial robustness and operational efficacy.

Valuation Analysis

Valuation analysis assumes pivotal importance within Equity Research, endeavoring to gauge the intrinsic value of the company’s stock. By harnessing a diverse array of methodologies such as discounted cash flow (DCF), comparable company analysis (CCA), and precedent transactions analysis (PTA), analysts strive to ascertain a fair and precise valuation.

Investment Thesis

Representing the apex of exhaustive analysis and contemplation, the investment thesis articulates the rationale underpinning the investment recommendation. Irrespective of bullish or bearish sentiments, the investment thesis furnishes stakeholders with a crystalline insight into the research findings and analysis, empowering them to make judicious investment decisions.

Challenges and Limitations of Equity Research

Despite its indispensability, it is not devoid of challenges and limitations, necessitating a nuanced understanding:

Information Asymmetry

Analysts often grapple with the challenge of accessing timely and accurate information, leading to information asymmetry among market participants.

Bias and Conflicts of Interest

The specter of bias and conflicts of interest looms large in Equity Research, especially in cases where analysts are affiliated with investment banks or brokerage firms. Such affiliations may potentially compromise the objectivity and impartiality of research reports.

Market Volatility

Effectively predicting stock prices and valuations is extremely difficult due to the inherent volatility of financial markets and the unpredictability of economic situations. It demands for a versatile and adaptable strategy.

Regulatory Compliance

Compliance with an array of regulatory requirements, including Regulation AC and MiFID II, imposes additional burdens on its analysts, necessitating meticulous adherence to regulatory stipulations.

Magistral’s Equity Research Services

Magistral Consulting emerges as a reliable entity in the industry, known for its comprehensive Research services. With a firm dedication to delivering insightful and actionable research, Magistral Consulting stands out as a prominent provider of equity analysis services in the financial market.

Fundamental Analysis

Our service enhances fundamental analysis through a range of offerings including customized models tailored to investors’ needs for assessing financial statements and predicting future performance, detailed quarterly earnings reviews highlighting key financial metrics and trends, transcripts and reviews of earnings calls providing insights into management perspectives and expectations, and thematic reports focusing on specific equity sectors or industries, enabling investors to gain deeper insights into industry dynamics and make more informed investment decisions.

Quantitative Analysis

We support quantitative analysis through data processing (cleansing, mining, classification), data analysis (statistical tools, correlation, regression), and specialized commodities performance tracking, enabling investors to gain valuable insights and make informed decisions in financial markets.

Credit Analysis

We aid credit analysis through Country and Company Risk Analysis. It assesses economic and political factors in different countries and evaluates individual companies’ financial health, management quality, and industry dynamics, empowering investors to make informed credit decisions.

Content Marketing

We boost content marketing with Industry Reports, Indices Tracking, and Event/News Analysis. Its insightful reports attract audiences, data-driven analysis enhances credibility, and timely updates keep marketers informed. Overall, Magistral enables compelling content creation, driving engagement and building brand authority.

About Magistral Consulting

Magistral Consulting has helped multiple funds and companies in outsourcing operations activities. It has service offerings for Private Equity, Venture Capital, Family Offices, Investment Banks, Asset Managers, Hedge Funds, Financial Consultants, Real Estate, REITs, RE funds, Corporates, and Portfolio companies. Its functional expertise is around Deal origination, Deal Execution, Due Diligence, Financial Modelling, Portfolio Management, and Equity Research

For setting up an appointment with a Magistral representative visit www.magistralconsulting.com/contact

About the Author

The article is authored by the Marketing Department of Magistral Consulting. For any business inquiries, you can reach out to prabhash.choudhary@magistralconsulting.com

Introduction

For institutional investors, buy-side research is essential in making investment decisions. To find appealing investment opportunities and effectively manage investment portfolios, requires doing in-depth study and research. Buy-side research is carried out by analysts who work directly for institutional investors, as opposed to sell-side research, which is carried out by analysts employed by brokerage companies and primarily serves to make recommendations to customers. Buy-Side Research and Analytics are concerned with determining the asset’s full potential. It tries to provide answers to the following important queries regarding the asset being traded. The most important component of the Buy-side research is locating the asset itself to purchase.

There are many different types of transactions in the financial sector. Every time a transaction takes place, there are two parties involved: one who sells the asset and one who purchases it. The sell-side refers to the party selling the asset, and the buy-side refers to the party purchasing the item. Private or public businesses, real estate, and other financial assets that produce returns or increase in value over time are examples of assets. The success of a transaction is significantly influenced by buy-side research.

Insights and a thorough grasp of numerous investment options, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, and alternative investments, are the main goals of buy-side research. Buy-side researchers seek to discover new trends, find cheap assets, and evaluate the risks of potential investments by undertaking in-depth analysis. The typical framework for buy-side research is an investment strategy or mandate established by the institutional investor. This strategy specifies the portfolio’s asset classes, investment goals, risk tolerance, and asset classification rules.

It is a dynamic, ongoing activity. Researchers closely monitor economic data, news items, and market moves that can affect investment decisions. To get more data and strengthen their analysis, they also actively engage in conversation with company leaders, subject matter experts, and other market participants. Institutional investors typically rely on buy-side research to assist them in managing their portfolios and selecting profitable investments. It necessitates superior analytical and research skills in addition to a profound understanding of financial markets, commercial trends, and valuation procedures.

Categories of Buy-Side Research

These divisions offer a structure for arranging and categorizing activities related to buy-side research. The distinctions between these categories can, however, be ambiguous, and there may be overlaps or hybrid approaches depending on the precise research goals and investment tactics used by various organizations.

Categories of Buy-Side Research

Categories of Buy-Side Research

The following categories can be used to categorize the research:

Equity Research

Individual stocks or equities are the focus of equity research. It includes assessing a company’s financial performance, growth potential, strategic positioning, and valuation.

Fixed Income Research

Bonds, fixed-income securities, and debt instruments are all fixed-income research subjects. It primarily focuses on yield analysis, bond valuation, credit risk assessment, and interest rate risk assessment.

Macro Research

Examines various macroeconomic elements, such as financial and geopolitical developments, interest rates, inflation, and economic indicators. Investors can explore the effects of macro factors on investment opportunities and the general state of the economy.

Sector Research

Analysis of particular sectors or industries is the main goal of sector research. It involves assessing the financial performance of enterprises within the sector, industry dynamics, market trends, competitive environments, and regulatory developments.

Quantitative Research of Buy-Side Research

To analyze financial data and produce insights, quantitative research employs mathematical and statistical models. Designing investing strategies, creating and testing quantitative models, and doing quantitative analysis of market data are all included.

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Research

ESG research aims to assess businesses and investments using environmental, social, and governance standards. This process includes analysis of elements including carbon footprint, labor practices, board makeup, diversity and inclusion, and ethical issues.

Alternative Investments Research

Research on alternative investments includes non-conventional asset classes like commodities, real estate, hedge funds, private equity, and venture capital. It entails monitoring liquidity, examining risk-return profiles, appraising investment opportunities, and comprehending the particular traits and tactics linked to alternative investments.

Benefits of Conducting Buy-Side Research

Asset management companies and institutional investors can profit greatly from research research. These advantages and benefits highlight the critical role that buy-side research plays in assisting institutional investors and asset management companies in making investment decisions, managing risks, and achieving investment goals.

Benefits of Conducting Buy-Side Research

Benefits of Conducting Buy-Side Research

The following are some major advantages and benefits of buy-side research:

Enhanced Decision-Making

The research offers insightful analysis and data that help investors make decisions. It assists investors in making knowledgeable decisions regarding assets by conducting in-depth analyses of businesses, markets, and industries.

Risk Mitigation

Research conducted by the buy side is essential for risk management. It assists investors in reducing risks and making knowledgeable risk-return trade-offs by doing thorough analysis and due diligence.

Alpha Generation

Alpha, or excess profits earned above a benchmark, is what buy-side research attempts to produce. The research can help generate alpha and outperform the market by conducting in-depth analysis and spotting inexpensive securities or investment opportunities.

Portfolio Diversification of Buy-Side Research

It enables portfolio diversification by thoroughly examining various asset classes, industries, and geographical areas. Diversification increases the possibility for superior risk-adjusted returns while lowering concentration risk.

Competitive Advantage

Investment businesses can gain a competitive edge by conducting superior buy-side research. Buy-side research can assist investors in staying ahead of the market and spotting investment opportunities before they are generally known through proprietary research methodology, distinctive insights, and differentiated viewpoints.

Long-Term Perspective

A long-term investment horizon is frequently emphasized in buy-side research, with an emphasis on sustainable growth and wealth generation. Buy-side research urges investors to have a long-term perspective and steer clear of short-term market swings by examining the fundamental variables influencing investment performance.

Magistral’s Buy-Side Research Services

Magistral Consulting has helped numerous Investment Banks, Family Offices, Hedge Funds, and Private Equity firms in outsourcing buy-side research operations. It has clients based in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia.

Some of the services provided by Magistral Consulting for Buy-Side research are listed below:

-Hedge Funds, Family Offices, and Fund of Funds: Stock and Equity Research, Valuation and Equity Research, and, Manager Research.

-Private Equity and Venture Capital: Private Companies Due Diligence, List Bidding, Valuation, and Financial Modeling.

-Investment Banks: Research for Private Companies, Listed Companies, Asset Managers, and Real Estate (Housing, Infrastructure, Specialty Lodging, etc.).

-Corporate Mergers & Acquisitions: Target List Building, Due Diligence, Valuation and Analytics, Post-Merger Integration Support, and, Selection of the Right partners like Brokers, Investment Bankers, etc.

About Magistral Consulting

Magistral Consulting has helped multiple funds and companies in outsourcing operations activities. It has service offerings for Private Equity, Venture Capital, Family OfficesInvestment BanksAsset Managers, Hedge Funds, Financial Consultants, Real Estate, REITs, RE fundsCorporates, and Portfolio companies. Its functional expertise is around Deal originationDeal Execution, Due Diligence, Financial ModellingPortfolio Management, and Equity Research.

For setting up an appointment with a Magistral representative: visit www.magistralconsulting.com/contact

About the Author

The article is authored by the Marketing Department of Magistral Consulting. For any business inquiries, you can reach out to  prabhash.choudhary@magistralconsulting.com

Introduction

By focusing on the fundamental variables that affect a company’s current business and prospects, the Equity Research and Analysis reflects the procedures used to estimate a security’s worth. It is the practice of analyzing the markets and companies to provide expert fund managers with recommendations on which stocks to buy. Equity research and analysis is the study of a company and its environment to judge the following:

– Whether to buy or sell its stock

– To calculate the price where one can bid for a target company

– To provide extensive financial insights and recommendations to investors on whether to purchase, hold, or exit a particular investment

Types of Equity Research and Analysis

There are three significant kinds of equity research and analysis explained below:

Economic Analysis

It entails evaluating or investigating subjects or concerns from an economist’s standpoint. This enables investors to examine the market from a broad perspective down to the individual stocks. Analyzing economic data may identify present market stability and understand the future.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis is a method for finding a stock’s actual value. A stock’s current price may not accurately reflect its actual value. In the market, the stock might well be overvalued or undervalued. The fundamental analysis aids investors in determining the health of a company, resulting in the stock’s current value. This is accomplished by applying a variety of qualitative and quantitative parameters. The primary goal of this strategy is to find fundamentally sound organizations to make long-term investments in them.

Fundamental analysis examines connected economic and financial elements to determine a security’s intrinsic value. Fundamental analysts look at everything that can impact the value of a security, from macroeconomic issues like the condition of the market and industry circumstances to microeconomic elements like the company’s management effectiveness. The goal is to arrive at a figure compared to the current security price to determine whether these are undervalued or overvalued. Technical analysis, which forecasts the price direction by analyzing previous market information such as volume and price, is believed to oppose this stock analysis approach.

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis is a proven technique for fundamental analysis

Quantitative Analysis

It has to do with the information found in a company’s financial statements. It entails everything from collecting simple statistical information to doing complicated calculations. This study aids in determining investment possibilities, including when to purchase stocks.

Qualitative Analysis

It considers data that cannot be stated numerically. The factors usually included in the qualitative analysis are Management experience and performance, Industry and competition, and corporate governance.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a study of patterns and statistical data to determine market trends and stock selection. It is a type of investment analysis that employs price and volume data, usually represented visually in charts. The charts are evaluated using several indicators to produce investing recommendations.

Importance of Equity Research and Analysis

The direct relationship between many local and global forces involved makes equity markets volatile. As a result, a better grasp of the equity market through equity research can help us better understand market changes and aid in the process of reaching our financial goals. As a result, equity research is fundamental, and the findings of equity research experts, from giant corporations to individuals who invest a portion of their assets in the stock market.

Equity research entails performing a comprehensive examination to determine the market value of a company’s stocks. Furthermore, it is used to indicate the probability of a rise or fall in its share price in a broader sense. It is common knowledge that the company’s expected financial results influence share price growth or fall over the next few years, and this serves as the analytical foundation upon which research analysts base their recommendations.

Importance of Equity Research

Importance of Equity Research

Because equity analysts interact with corporate management, they have a clear image of the firm’s current situation, and they have regular informal meetings with other research analysts, which allows them to propose a company’s position prudently.

These results will allow them to spot patterns in a company’s growth and fall, and investors will seek their advice, in general, to guarantee their investment goals are accomplished.

With the rise in volatility in the equity markets, decision-makers rely on equity research analysts who succeed at formulating premium equity research reports to measure the value of a company’s equity shares and try to decipher the likely future course of its fair price based on edging equity research report patterns. Along with the market for high equities research reports, there has been an increase in the demand for equity analysts to assess company fundamentals and advise investors on how to position themselves in its stock.

As a result of using top equity research reports or the expertise of a skilled research analyst, the investor would be much better equipped to make more cautious and educated equity market investing decisions. When done methodically and accompanied by research suggestions, equity investment can be considered a well-calculated risk that has shown to return many times for many investors.

Challenges in Equity Research and Analysis

– Obtaining data is the most challenging aspect of equity analysis. A large volume of data must be crunched in making informed market decisions, and the data quality supplied is crucial. The purpose of equity analysis should be to provide market information. Inefficiencies arise from a lack of information, resulting in stock misrepresentation.

– Technology is another crucial area as it is critical to have updated technology to analyze the financial data procured for equity analysis.

– Lack of capital is another factor that hinders equity analysis as it is equally important to have proper economic credentials to utilize the quality data and expert talent to analyze them.

Magistral’s Service Offerings in Equity Research and Analysis

Here is how Magistral helps its clients like Hedge Funds, Family Offices, Equity Advisors, and Other Investors in Equity Research

Magistral's Equity Research and Analysis Services

Here is how Magistral helps its clients like Hedge Funds, Family Offices, Equity Advisors and Other Investors in Equity Research

Fundamental Equity Research and Analysis

Fundamental analysis is the technique used to measure the stock’s intrinsic value. This analysis comprises customized models, quarterly earning reviews, earning call reviews, and equity and Industry themed reports which are further discussed below:

Customized Financial Models

Financial customized models are numerical representations of a company’s business throughout the past, present, and the predicted future. These models are designed to aid in decision-making. Company leaders could use them to estimate the expenses and profitability of a new project.

Discounted Cashflow (DCF) Modelling

It’s a method of valuation used to determine the present value of an investment based on its future cash flows. It helps to calculate how much an investment is worth today based on future returns. This can be applied to any investment or purchase of stock by company owners. It is a valuation method that can be used for private-held companies. DCF uses a discount rate to determine whether the future cash flows of investment are worth investing in. The discount rate is a risk-free rate of return.

Quarterly Earnings Review

A quarterly earnings report has been used to report results every quarter. Net income, EPS, earnings from continuing operations, and net sales are included in earnings reports. One can assess a company’s financial health and determine whether it is worth its investment by examining quarterly earnings reports.

Earnings Call Review

The information gleaned from earnings calls is used by analysts to conduct a fundamental study of the company. The company’s financial accounts are the starting point for fundamental research. Analysts will scrutinize these documents and listen to verbal indications from corporate management all through the earnings call. During an earnings call, analysts may inquire about main concepts or specific details in the footnotes, such as inventory and “less accumulated depreciation” sections.

Equity and Industry Themed Reports

It is in-depth research of a specific theme. Generally, themes are weighted differently for each sector. It identifies winners and losers in a single theme based on technology leadership, the position in the market, and other factors. It also improves the decision-making by a clear picture of fitting all stocks in a theme together.

Quantitative Equity Research and Analysis

It is the technique of using mathematical and statistical modeling, measurement, and research to understand the behavior of a particular stock. Analysts represent given reality in numbers. In data processing, cleaning and mining of data are done, and further, it is analyzed by correlation, regression, and various other tools, which are discussed below:

Data Processing and Analysis

Quantitative tools have now been routinely used to extract enormous amounts of data from several financial sources. To evaluate financial instruments, investment banks create equilibrium models; mutual funds use time series to identify risks in their portfolios, and hedge funds attempt to glean cues and statistical arbitrage through noisy market data. Quantitative finance’s ascent in the last decade is focused on creating computer systems that allow for the processing of enormous datasets. More quantitative finance research has shifted towards the microstructures of capital markets as even more data exists at a higher frequency. Data processing methods and quantitative frameworks are painstakingly constructed to efficiently extract information on financial data.

Commodities Performance Tracking and Analysis

Commodities go through cycles. When the supply of a specific commodity is scarce, prices will rise. Prices fall when there is an excessive amount of commodity in the market. Ideally, commodities that are performing at multi-year peaks or lows are viewed. The scenario tends to vary over time, resulting in a good trading opportunity.

Credit Equity Research and Analysis

Credit analysis is a form of financial research used to determine whether a company can satisfy its debt obligations. Credit analysis determines the proper degree of default risk when investing in a company’s debt instruments. Analysts perform a credit study on a company to determine its capacity to pay its debts. Following further analysis is performed to know more as explained below:

Country Risk Analysis

Establishing a country’s ability to transmit payments is known as country risk analysis. It considers political, economic, and social variables to assist businesses in making strategic decisions when doing business in a country. Every company transaction has some level of risk. Risks stemming from several national changes in the economic structures, policies, socio-political institutions, geography, and currencies are often referred to as country risks.

Company Risk Analysis

A company risk analysis assesses the likelihood of an unanticipated adverse event affecting critical company activities and projects. Organizations undertake risk analyses to determine when a negative consequence is likely to occur, the risk’s impact on a specific business sector, and where the risk may be minimized. In the worst-case situation, where an unexpected negative impact happens, a business analysis creates a control plan to return corporate operations to normalcy.

Reports and Newsletters

It is a strategic approach to creating and distributing valuable industry reports, indices tracking analysis, and event and news analysis. These are further discussed below:

Industry Reports and Indices Tracking

Industry reports are prepared using various tools, and further index trackers attempt to match the performance of a particular “index” of shares. It attempts to monitor the ups and downs of the index as closely as possible. It helps in choosing the better equity that is aligned with the index.

Event and News Analysis

An event study is a statistical method of evaluating the impact of a specific event or a piece of news on a company and its stock. A piece of bad news or event can bring the value of a stock down, whereas a piece of good news can bring the value of a stock upwards.

About Magistral consulting

Magistral Consulting has helped multiple funds and companies in outsourcing operations activities. It has service offerings for Private Equity, Venture Capital, Family OfficesInvestment BanksAsset Managers, Hedge Funds, Financial Consultants, Real Estate, REITs, RE fundsCorporates and Portfolio companies. Its functional expertise is around Deal originationDeal Execution, Due Diligence, Financial ModelingPortfolio Management and Equity Research.

For setting up an appointment with a Magistral representative visit www.magistralconsulting.com/contact

About the Author

The article is Authored by the Marketing Department of Magistral Consulting. For any business inquiries, you could reach out to prabhash.choudhary@magistralconsulting.com

 

 

 

Introduction

Equity Research of listed stocks forms a major part of operations in Hedge Funds, Investment Banks, and many Asset Management firms.

Though methods may differ, all the exercises related to equity research mostly pertain to finding the intrinsic value of the stock and then inferring if it’s overvalued or undervalued currently, prompting buy sell or hold recommendations for the asset managers or their clients.

What makes an equity research exercise comprehensive?

Though equity research exercise could potentially be a theoretical exercise where an Equity Research analyst puts in a few hours’ of efforts, crunch numbers, and comes up with a recommendation.  These models are almost always prepared and just need P&L, Balance Sheet, and Cashflow numbers, which are available in the public domain for a listed stock, fed in, to find out the valuation and the recommendation for the stock.

It is however the further details that determine the quality of the research. These are a variety of sources, qualitative inputs and their quantification, Evaluation of the ongoing news and buzz related to the stock, social media activity, rumors, and the subjective calls of analyst that makes the difference. It’s amazing that some analysts even track the brand of the watch that the CEO wears to the analyst conferences. They make subjective calls on the stock on an information point as minute as that or say body language of the management in a conference call.

 

If a stock is to watched as closely as needed to take calls worth millions, it’s not possible for an equity research analyst to proceed in a templated way for all the stocks she needs to track. It needs to go much beyond that.

Equity Research Inputs

Parts of a comprehensive Equity Research exercise

Here is what differentiates a comprehensive analysis from a basic one

Sources of Information: Sources of information if more the merrier. Sources of information if diverse allows us to analyze the stock closely. For example, a database that carries information about all the legal cases pending against a company would add color to the analysis that will have a material impact on the overall recommendation for the stock. Usual sources of information are P&L, Balance sheet, and cash flow statements, all of which are publicly available for a listed stock apart from news about the stock, regulatory filings, 10Ks, conference calls, and ESG related compliance documents.

 

Forecast and Assumptions: A financial forecast can easily be put together sometimes by just extrapolating the past growth in the future. That is a simplistic but not correct way of doing it. The heart of a financial or earnings forecast is the assumptions made to arrive at the same. All assumptions need to be reasonable and preferably vetted by industry experts. Companies may be bullish about their latest strategy and its financial impact, but that needs to be looked at cautiously if at all it is going to lead to any impact, and if yes, how much. That is where industry studies come into play. A company forecast needs to be compared with industry forecasts and if the company’s growth forecasts are more than that of the industry, has there been any past instances when the company had beaten the industry forecasts. For example, if a healthcare company is planning to launch equipment that will take a leadership position in five years, has there been any past instance for this healthcare company to take a leadership position within five years of the launch in the past? The key to a robust model is going into detail about all the assumptions and making sure all assumptions are validated by past numbers.

 

Company Valuation Analysis

Equity Quantitative Research methods aim at valuing the company using more than one method to see if all valuations are consistent with each other. If there is a huge variation in valuations of companies by different methods, the analyst needs to arrive at the best suitable valuation with sound reasoning. The most common equity research models to find out the valuation of a company are DCF modeling, Relative Valuation, Sum of Parts, and Risk Assessment. DCF that stands for Discounted Cash Flow analyzes all the future cash flows of the company and discounts it to the present value. Relative Valuation compares the company valuation with peers to see if it is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The Sum of parts breaks a big company into smaller chunks and finds if the sum of all parts of valuations of a company is equal to the overall company valuation. The risk assessment identifies all the risks and quantifies the material impact of risks into the valuation

 

Qualitative Assessment

Numbers do tell the story but miss while indicating the future, which is unknown. That is where the qualitative inputs come into play. An experienced analyst can convert these qualitative inputs into quantitative ones that impact the valuation. Some of these qualitative inputs are quality of management, Competitive intensity in the industry, ESG initiatives and risks, and analyzing Porter’s 5 forces. It’s to be noted that Porter’s 5 forces is a highly qualitative model and needs to be put on a quantification scale.

Different institutions approach equity research differently depending on their business and operational needs. Here is how Equity Research differs across institutions

Equity Research for Investment Banks

Equity Research at Investment Banks is as much as a Marketing exercise as it is operational. Usually, an Investment Bank would send stock recommendations to all its current and potential clients. These recommendations are sometimes not detailed as the detailed research is kept for high paying clients. An equity research report is prepared for every stock. The report is templated and carry similar content for all the stocks that the bank tracks. It also suggests the buy, sell, or hold recommendations along with the price range to expect for each stock. Detailed equity research is also done for the buy-side. There are multiple research report templates that are available with an Investment Bank.

Earlier the research cost was added to the brokerage cost for an investment bank. Now a regulatory notification in Europe bars Investment Banks from clubbing brokerage and research costs together. This means now research needs to be high quality and needs to be provided only when the client demands. It’s just a matter of time that these regulations catch hold in the United States and other financial markets across the world.

Equity Research for Hedge Funds

Equity Research for hedge funds is done towards the aim of portfolio management and taking long and short positions regarding listed stocks

Hedge Funds are quite secretive about the methodology they follow while picking up stocks. Sometimes the secrecy is warranted as they have something that is really unique but most of the time it’s just a marketing gimmick to avoid further questioning about their methodology. Many claim to use Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence to pick up the stocks. Equity Research in Hedge Fund parlance is the most critical part of Operations. There is also a huge reliance on Technology with trades mostly intraday and sometimes in milliseconds!! But there is nothing that has replaced the good old fundamental analysis.

Hedge Funds also specialize in technical analysis apart from fundamental analysis. Technical analysis uses mathematical formulas to project trends and thus the future stock price for short term trades.

Equity Research for Private Equity

Private Equity usually deals in Private stocks but sometimes they do pick up stake in listed companies as well. Equity Research in Private Equity is very different than what is done in Hedge Funds and Investment Banks. It is because mostly Private Equity is interested in buying a significant stake and thus has far more information and management bandwidth at its disposal. It uses that leverage to get and analyze information that is usually not available in the public domain.

 

Equity Research for Asset Managers

All other forms of Equity Research vary in complexity and methodology but mostly sticking to finding the intrinsic value of the stock with the aim of finding undervalued stocks for investments. Some Asset Managers specifically perform equity research for retail investors.

 

Magistral’s Approach for Equity Research

Magistral is an equity research firm that focuses on Fundamental Research to find out the intrinsic value of a stock using multiple sources. Our methodology takes into account multiple sources to start with and those sources are continually refreshed to update the model to carry the latest intelligence. We also prepare customized Equity Research report. Here is how our Equity Research Process looks like

Magistral' Equity Research Approach

Magistral’s Equity Research Methodology

 

Our equity research services are customizable and scalable as per clients’ requirements. Magistral has delivered multiple Equity Research projects in the past

About Magistral

Magistral Consulting has helped multiple funds and companies in outsourcing operations activities. It has service offerings for Private Equity, Venture Capital, Family OfficesInvestment BanksAsset Managers, Hedge Funds, Financial Consultants, Real Estate, REITs, RE fundsCorporates and Portfolio companies. Its functional expertise is around Deal originationDeal Execution, Due Diligence, Financial ModelingPortfolio Management and Equity Research

For setting up an appointment with a Magistral representative visit www.magistralconsulting.com/contact

About the Author

The Author, Prabhash Choudhary is the CEO of Magistral Consulting and can be reached at Prabhash.choudhary@magistralconsutling.com for any queries or business inquiries.